martes, febrero 06, 2007
los empleados del indec bajan el level de sus vacaciones
Los empleados del Indec se fueron de vacaciones al Calafate el año pasado, pero este enero no pasaron de las Toninas. ¿Cómo puede ser, si no, que la inflación anual en el rubro turismo haya sido del 0,03%, si los alquileres en general (según el propio Indec) subieron el 14,5%, el transporte 6,8%, la categoría difusa de "servicios de esparcimiento" 15%? Ah, ya sé, capaz hicieron picnics con verduras de estación, y compraron ropa en liquidación, por eso es.
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Cuando era muy chico, me escondía y para que no me vieran me tapaba la cara con las manos. Mi mente infantil creía que al yo no ver lo que me rodeaba, tampoco me podrían ver a mi
Hasta hoy pensaba que este tipo de pensamiento mágico era privativo de los niños muy pequeños.
También suele ser llamada la estrategia del avestruz. Pero es cierto, por estos pagos las liquidaciones de verano y de invierno hacen que el CPI suba menos que en otros meses. Un pequeño consuelo para una que se llevó una flor de desilusión.
En el divertidísimo anexo metodológico del índice de precios, el INDEC explica que la canasta se toma de una encuesta de consumo que se realiza durante un año al SEGUNDO QUINTIL (de abajo pa arriba, claro), así que el calafate no entraba, seguro! La última se hizo en 1996, la de 2006 esta por salir, dicen.
Porqué ese quintil? esa es la decisión, creo.
Una entusiasta.
Mira, una forma de ver si efectivamente el ipc tiene algun parecido con la realidad es desglosar el IPC nacional a tres o cuatro digitos y ver que cambios se produjeron ahi.
El daño a la confianza en las instituciones encargadas de las mediciones es terrible. A partir de ahora para cerrar los contratos la gente mirará el índice y le sumará "un poquito más" por las dudas... comienza el desdoblamiento del indice oficial...
Vean el blog de Olivera, el descompone el índice en decimales.
Saludos
Poniéndole 10% a Servicios de salud (en lugar de 2.2%)y 16.7% a turismo (idem enero 06), el nivel general me da 1.9% para enero. Parece que lo de turismo es porque en lugar de poner los precios de la encuesta habitual del INDEC pusieron los precios de la encuesta de Moreno, que según parece en lugar de relevar precios de hoteles en Miami (a dónde decían los argentinos que iban en el 06), pone precios de hoteles de la feliz (o Las Toninas quizás).
*Debió decir "a dónde decían los argentinos que iban en el 95", año en el que se hizo la encuesta de hogares a partir de la que se elaboró la canasta del IPC.
Conclusion...actualicemos la canasta y dejemonos de joder!
federico, poniendo las mismas variaciones que vos me da 2.03... y yendo un poco más lejos con el alza en turismo y algo mas en ss para la salud, sigue subiendo...
porq nadie salio a decir arriba de 2? como a fiel le da 1.5? y a otros 1.7?? no entiendo...
igual queda claro q mas alla de la cifra exacta, el ipc se dibujo...
saludos
Hay unos versos de Quevedo, quien ya en el siglo XVII se quejaba de que los que gobiernan se asustan con la realidad y censuran a los mensajeros. Dicen así: "Tirar la cara es lo que vale, que hacerlo con el espejo no hay porque".
Lo que tomaron en turismo no es ni Toninas ni Miami sino, como declaró Moreno, a los "empresarios buenos" que se comprometieron con el gobierno a no aumentar más del 6% y no a los "pocos" que se abusan.
Cada día le cuesta más a mis amigos progres ser kirschneristas. Creo que ya sólo se sostiene por la pésima oposición que existe.
Salud y good show y que vuelva Tato Bores!!!!!!!!!!
Bernardito
en un post tuyo, elemaco, me fue graciosa la frase donde dijiste algo así de, "el ipc no puede medir lo que yo consumo".
je+, mas allá de este manoceo del IPC asqueroso, pese a que artemio quiere salvar su fuente laboral (sino quien le dibujaria las fuentes de estadistica), estamos entendiendo que la inflación va un poquito mas allá de la simplemente "arbitraria" canasta promedio, donde todos nosotros en mayor o menor medida no participamos, porque pertenecemos a otra "clase de canasta"-
Sería mas honesto, multiples canastas o incluso, canastas particulares estilo gran bretaña... porque esto, no se lo cree absolutamente nadie.
saludos,
ariel
csi miami?
ipc turismo (0,0%)
ene 07 261,58
ene 06 261,49
-doble cero: la banca se lleva todo
debe ser csi vegas
dolar (1,3%)
ene 07 3,10
ene 06 3,06
precios miami - en US$ (-1,3%)
grande jeb, y eso que todo el mundo te dice hdp (o acaso no sos hermano de uno)
y si lo mandamos a moreno a darle el certifiKdo al merito? y con un poco suerte lo invitan a conocer el camping Gitmo
Rollo, estoy esperando el post sobre la vuelta del possesion football de la mano de Gago y los peker boys por favor
violando el secreto estadistico:
Sr. Tipo (uno de los tantos personajes que hasta ahora no tenían el gusto de conocer a Moreno personalmente) tenía pasajes en Air Madrid
2006 NH Malaga y tapeo en Benidorm
(en euros)
2007 Zapi de dorapa en el anden de la estacion Ezeiza city con un vaso de blanco Tetra y telo en Camino de la Cintura (en mangos redradeños)
Te tomaste el trabajo de calcular probabilidades en "plagiaré y venderé millones", pero no el de calcular qué tan probable era que un lector se sintiera ofendido por el comentario sobre Las Toninas (sip, ahí también veranean economistas).
Un abrazo,
pet insurance
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